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1.
Monaldi Arch Chest Dis ; 2023 May 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2322365

ABSTRACT

During and following the COVID-19 pandemic, the world has witnessed a surge in high-flow oxygen therapy (HFOT) use. The ability to provide high oxygenation levels with remarkable comfort levels has been the grounds for the same. Despite the advantages, delay in intubation leading to poor overall outcomes has been noticed in subgroup of patients on HFOT. ROX index has been proposed to be a useful indicator to predict HFOT success. In this study, we have examined the utility of the ROX index prospectively in cases of acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) due to infective etiologies. Seventy participants were screened, and 55 were recruited for the study. The majority of participants were males (56.4%), with diabetes mellitus being the most common comorbidity (29.1%). The mean age of the study subjects was 46.27±15.6 years. COVID-19 (70.9%) was the most common etiology for AHRF, followed by scrub typhus (21.8%). Nineteen (34.5%) experienced HFOT failure and 9 (16.4%) subjects died during the study period. Demographic characteristics did not differ between either of the two groups (HFOT success versus failure and survived group versus expired group). ROX index was significantly different between the HFOT success versus failure group at baseline, 2, 4, 6, 12 and 24 h. The best cut-off of ROX index at baseline and 2 h were 4.4 (sensitivity 91.7%, specificity 86.7%) and 4.3 (sensitivity 94.4% and specificity 86.7%), respectively. ROX index was found to be an efficient tool in predicting HFOT failure in cases with AHRF with infective etiology.

2.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 11(3)2023 Feb 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2251161

ABSTRACT

The limited availability of effective treatment against SARS-CoV-2 infection is a major challenge in managing COVID-19. This scenario has augmented the need for repurposing anti-virals for COVID-19 mitigation. In this report, the anti-SARS-CoV-2 potential of anti-HCV drugs such as daclatasvir (DCV) or ledipasvir (LDP) in combination with sofosbuvir (SOF) was evaluated. The binding mode and higher affinity of these molecules with RNA-dependent-RNA-polymerase of SARS-CoV-2 were apparent by computational analysis. In vitro anti-SARS-CoV-2 activity depicted that SOF/DCV and SOF/LDP combination has IC50 of 1.8 and 2.0 µM, respectively, comparable to remdesivir, an approved drug for COVID-19. Furthermore, the clinical trial was conducted in 183 mild COVID-19 patients for 14 days to check the efficacy and safety of SOF/DCV and SOF/LDP compared to standard of care (SOC) in a parallel-group, hybrid, individually randomized, controlled clinical study. The primary outcomes of the study suggested no significant difference in negativity after 3, 7 and 14 days in both treatments. None of the patients displayed any worsening in the disease severity, and no mortality was observed in the study. Although, the post hoc exploratory analysis indicated significant normalization of the pulse rate showed in SOF/DCV and SOF/LDP treatment vs. SOC. The current study highlights the limitations of bench side models in predicting the clinical efficacy of drugs that are planned for repurposing.

3.
Clean ; 51(1), 2023.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-2237183

ABSTRACT

In this study, three approaches namely parallel, sequential, and multiple linear regression are applied to analyze the local air quality improvements during the COVID‐19 lockdowns. In the present work, the authors have analyzed the monitoring data of the following primary air pollutants: particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and carbon monoxide (CO). During the lockdown period, the first phase has most noticeable impact on airquality evidenced by the parallel approach, and it has reflected a significant reduction in concentration levels of PM10 (27%), PM2.5 (19%), NO2 (74%), SO2 (36%), and CO (47%), respectively. In the sequential approach, a reduction in pollution levels is also observed for different pollutants, however, these results are biased due to rainfall in that period. In the multiple linear regression approach, the concentrations of primary air pollutants are selected, and set as target variables to predict their expected values during the city's lockdown period.The obtained results suggest that if a 21‐days lockdown is implemented, then a reduction of 42 µg m−3 in PM10, 23 µg m−3 in PM2.5, 14 µg m−3 in NO2, 2 µg m−3 in SO2, and 0.7 mg m−3 in CO can be achieved.

4.
Biosensors (Basel) ; 12(12)2022 Dec 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2199767

ABSTRACT

The human body is designed to experience stress and react to it, and experiencing challenges causes our body to produce physical and mental responses and also helps our body to adjust to new situations. However, stress becomes a problem when it continues to remain without a period of relaxation or relief. When a person has long-term stress, continued activation of the stress response causes wear and tear on the body. Chronic stress results in cancer, cardiovascular disease, depression, and diabetes, and thus is deeply detrimental to our health. Previous researchers have performed a lot of work regarding mental stress, using mainly machine-learning-based approaches. However, most of the methods have used raw, unprocessed data, which cause more errors and thereby affect the overall model performance. Moreover, corrupt data values are very common, especially for wearable sensor datasets, which may also lead to poor performance in this regard. This paper introduces a deep-learning-based method for mental stress detection by encoding time series raw data into Gramian Angular Field images, which results in promising accuracy while detecting the stress levels of an individual. The experiment has been conducted on two standard benchmark datasets, namely WESAD (wearable stress and affect detection) and SWELL. During the studies, testing accuracies of 94.8% and 99.39% are achieved for the WESAD and SWELL datasets, respectively. For the WESAD dataset, chest data are taken for the experiment, including the data of sensor modalities such as three-axis acceleration (ACC), electrocardiogram (ECG), body temperature (TEMP), respiration (RESP), etc.


Subject(s)
Neural Networks, Computer , Wearable Electronic Devices , Humans , Machine Learning , Electrocardiography , Stress, Psychological
5.
CLEAN – Soil, Air, Water ; 2022.
Article in English | Web of Science | ID: covidwho-2127639

ABSTRACT

In this study, three approaches namely parallel, sequential, and multiple linear regression are applied to analyze the local air quality improvements during the COVID-19 lockdowns. In the present work, the authors have analyzed the monitoring data of the following primary air pollutants: particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and carbon monoxide (CO). During the lockdown period, the first phase has most noticeable impact on airquality evidenced by the parallel approach, and it has reflected a significant reduction in concentration levels of PM10 (27%), PM2.5 (19%), NO2 (74%), SO2 (36%), and CO (47%), respectively. In the sequential approach, a reduction in pollution levels is also observed for different pollutants, however, these results are biased due to rainfall in that period. In the multiple linear regression approach, the concentrations of primary air pollutants are selected, and set as target variables to predict their expected values during the city's lockdown period.The obtained results suggest that if a 21-days lockdown is implemented, then a reduction of 42 mu g m(-3) in PM10, 23 mu g m(-3) in PM2.5, 14 mu g m(-3) in NO2, 2 mu g m(-3) in SO2, and 0.7 mg m(-3) in CO can be achieved.

6.
Qual Quant ; 56(4): 2023-2033, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1959063

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study is to compare the different methods which are effective in predicting data of the short-term effect of COVID-19 confirmed cases and DJI closed stock market in the US. Data for confirmed cases of COVID-19 has been obtained from Worldometer, the database of Johns Hopkins University and the US stock market data (DJI) was obtained from Yahoo Finance. The data starts from 20 January 2020 (first confirmed COVID-19 case the US) to 06 December 2020 and DJI data covers 21 January 2019 to 04 December 2020. COVID-19 data was tested for the period 30 November to 06 December and DJI from 25 November 2020 to 04 December. From the result, we find that the method SutteARIMA was found more suitable to calculate the daily forecasts of COVID-29 confirmed cases and DJI in the US and this method has been used in this study. For the evaluation of the prediction methods, the accuracy measure means absolute percentage error (MAPE) has been used. The MAPE value with the SutteARIMA of 0.56 and 0.60 for COVID-19 and DJI stock respectively was found to be smaller than the MAPE value with ARIMA method.

7.
Biomed Signal Process Control ; 78: 104000, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1936112

ABSTRACT

The novel COVID-19 pandemic, has effectively turned out to be one of the deadliest events in modern history, with unprecedented loss of human life, major economic and financial setbacks and has set the entire world back quite a few decades. However, detection of the COVID-19 virus has become increasingly difficult due to the mutating nature of the virus, and the rise in asymptomatic cases. To counteract this and contribute to the research efforts for a more accurate screening of COVID-19, we have planned this work. Here, we have proposed an ensemble methodology for deep learning models to solve the task of COVID-19 detection from chest X-rays (CXRs) to assist Computer-Aided Detection (CADe) for medical practitioners. We leverage the strategy of transfer learning for Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), widely adopted in recent literature, and further propose an efficient ensemble network for their combination. The DenseNet-201 architecture has been trained only once to generate multiple snapshots, offering diverse information about the extracted features from CXRs. We follow the strategy of decision-level fusion to combine the decision scores using the blending algorithm through a Random Forest (RF) meta-learner. Experimental results confirm the efficacy of the proposed ensemble method, as shown through impressive results upon two open access COVID-19 CXR datasets - the largest COVID-X dataset, as well as a smaller scale dataset. On the large COVID-X dataset, the proposed model has achieved an accuracy score of 94.55% and on the smaller dataset by Chowdhury et al., the proposed model has achieved a 98.13% accuracy score.

8.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 24065, 2021 12 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1585806

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 is a respiratory disease that causes infection in both lungs and the upper respiratory tract. The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared it a global pandemic because of its rapid spread across the globe. The most common way for COVID-19 diagnosis is real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) which takes a significant amount of time to get the result. Computer based medical image analysis is more beneficial for the diagnosis of such disease as it can give better results in less time. Computed Tomography (CT) scans are used to monitor lung diseases including COVID-19. In this work, a hybrid model for COVID-19 detection has developed which has two key stages. In the first stage, we have fine-tuned the parameters of the pre-trained convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to extract some features from the COVID-19 affected lungs. As pre-trained CNNs, we have used two standard CNNs namely, GoogleNet and ResNet18. Then, we have proposed a hybrid meta-heuristic feature selection (FS) algorithm, named as Manta Ray Foraging based Golden Ratio Optimizer (MRFGRO) to select the most significant feature subset. The proposed model is implemented over three publicly available datasets, namely, COVID-CT dataset, SARS-COV-2 dataset, and MOSMED dataset, and attains state-of-the-art classification accuracies of 99.15%, 99.42% and 95.57% respectively. Obtained results confirm that the proposed approach is quite efficient when compared to the local texture descriptors used for COVID-19 detection from chest CT-scan images.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnostic imaging , Radiographic Image Interpretation, Computer-Assisted/methods , Algorithms , COVID-19 Testing/methods , Deep Learning , Heuristics , Humans , Neural Networks, Computer , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
9.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 8304, 2021 04 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1545653

ABSTRACT

COVID-19, a viral infection originated from Wuhan, China has spread across the world and it has currently affected over 115 million people. Although vaccination process has already started, reaching sufficient availability will take time. Considering the impact of this widespread disease, many research attempts have been made by the computer scientists to screen the COVID-19 from Chest X-Rays (CXRs) or Computed Tomography (CT) scans. To this end, we have proposed GraphCovidNet, a Graph Isomorphic Network (GIN) based model which is used to detect COVID-19 from CT-scans and CXRs of the affected patients. Our proposed model only accepts input data in the form of graph as we follow a GIN based architecture. Initially, pre-processing is performed to convert an image data into an undirected graph to consider only the edges instead of the whole image. Our proposed GraphCovidNet model is evaluated on four standard datasets: SARS-COV-2 Ct-Scan dataset, COVID-CT dataset, combination of covid-chestxray-dataset, Chest X-Ray Images (Pneumonia) dataset and CMSC-678-ML-Project dataset. The model shows an impressive accuracy of 99% for all the datasets and its prediction capability becomes 100% accurate for the binary classification problem of detecting COVID-19 scans. Source code of this work can be found at GitHub-link .


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnostic imaging , Neural Networks, Computer , Radiography, Thoracic/methods , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , COVID-19/virology , Datasets as Topic , Humans , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification
11.
Lancet Respir Med ; 9(5): 511-521, 2021 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1537197

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Global randomised controlled trials of the anti-IL-6 receptor antibody tocilizumab in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 have shown conflicting results but potential decreases in time to discharge and burden on intensive care. Tocilizumab reduced progression to mechanical ventilation and death in a trial population enriched for racial and ethnic minorities. We aimed to investigate whether tocilizumab treatment could prevent COVID-19 progression in the first multicentre randomised controlled trial of tocilizumab done entirely in a lower-middle-income country. METHODS: COVINTOC is an open-label, multicentre, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial done at 12 public and private hospitals across India. Adults (aged ≥18 years) admitted to hospital with moderate to severe COVID-19 (Indian Ministry of Health grading) confirmed by positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR result were randomly assigned (1:1 block randomisation) to receive tocilizumab 6 mg/kg plus standard care (the tocilizumab group) or standard care alone (the standard care group). The primary endpoint was progression of COVID-19 (from moderate to severe or from severe to death) up to day 14 in the modified intention-to-treat population of all participants who had at least one post-baseline assessment for the primary endpoint. Safety was assessed in all randomly assigned patients. The trial is completed and registered with the Clinical Trials Registry India (CTRI/2020/05/025369). FINDINGS: 180 patients were recruited between May 30, 2020, and Aug 31, 2020, and randomly assigned to the tocilizumab group (n=90) or the standard care group (n=90). One patient randomly assigned to the standard care group inadvertently received tocilizumab at baseline and was included in the tocilizumab group for all analyses. One patient randomly assigned to the standard care group withdrew consent after the baseline visit and did not receive any study medication and was not included in the modified intention-to-treat population but was still included in safety analyses. 75 (82%) of 91 in the tocilizumab group and 68 (76%) of 89 in the standard care group completed 28 days of follow-up. Progression of COVID-19 up to day 14 occurred in eight (9%) of 91 patients in the tocilizumab group and 11 (13%) of 88 in the standard care group (difference -3·71 [95% CI -18·23 to 11·19]; p=0·42). 33 (36%) of 91 patients in the tocilizumab group and 22 (25%) of 89 patients in the standard care group had adverse events; 18 (20%) and 15 (17%) had serious adverse events. The most common adverse event was acute respiratory distress syndrome, reported in seven (8%) patients in each group. Grade 3 adverse events were reported in two (2%) patients in the tocilizumab group and five (6%) patients in the standard care group. There were no grade 4 adverse events. Serious adverse events were reported in 18 (20%) patients in the tocilizumab group and 15 (17%) in the standard care group; 13 (14%) and 15 (17%) patients died during the study. INTERPRETATION: Routine use of tocilizumab in patients admitted to hospital with moderate to severe COVID-19 is not supported. However, post-hoc evidence from this study suggests tocilizumab might still be effective in patients with severe COVID-19 and so should be investigated further in future studies. FUNDING: Medanta Institute of Education and Research, Roche India, Cipla India, and Action COVID-19 India.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , COVID-19 , Cytokine Release Syndrome , Receptors, Interleukin-6/antagonists & inhibitors , Respiratory Distress Syndrome , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/administration & dosage , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/adverse effects , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/immunology , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/therapy , Critical Care/methods , Cytokine Release Syndrome/drug therapy , Cytokine Release Syndrome/etiology , Cytokine Release Syndrome/immunology , Drug Monitoring/methods , Female , Humans , Immunologic Factors/administration & dosage , Immunologic Factors/adverse effects , India , Male , Middle Aged , Mortality , Respiration, Artificial/methods , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/diagnosis , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/etiology , Severity of Illness Index , Treatment Outcome
12.
AIMS Public Health ; 8(4): 614-623, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1524261

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health Care Workers (HCW) are among the primary stakeholders and front liners in the fight against COVID-19. They are in direct contact with the patients as primary caregivers and, therefore, are at a higher risk of infection. This Pandemic offers a unique opportunity to explore the level of knowledge among ground-level HCWs during this global health crisis. OBJECTIVE: We conducted this study to assess the knowledge and awareness among HCW regarding the COVID-19 Pandemic in a tertiary care hospital. METHODS: It was a cross-sectional study done on HCW comprising faculty, senior residents, junior residents, demonstrators, and nursing staff of various specialties directly involved in the care of suspected/confirmed COVID-19 patients. A pretested questionnaire consisting of 20 questions was used as a study tool and was circulated through the digital platform. RESULTS: There were a total of 437 respondents. In the subgroup analysis, the respondents in the age group of 55-64 years had a higher mean knowledge score, followed by the respondents in the age group of 18-24 years. For years of experience, the mean knowledge score varied from 13.89 (10-20 years of experience) to 13.83 (5-10 years of experience). The mean knowledge score was the highest for consultants (14.10), followed by Resident Doctors (13.96). CONCLUSIONS: This study has shed some critical clues for further research and interventions. Firstly, as health care workers are probably learning about COVID-19 from their practical exposure rather than formal teaching, it is pertinent to address this issue through well-planned formal sessions of training workshops and lectures.

13.
Measurement (Lond) ; 187: 110289, 2022 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1466782

ABSTRACT

Biomedical images contain a large volume of sensor measurements, which can reveal the descriptors of the disease under investigation. Computer-based analysis of such measurements helps detect the disease, and thereby swiftly aid medical professionals to choose adequate therapy. In this paper, we propose a robust deep learning ensemble framework known as COVID Fuzzy Ensemble Network, or COFE-Net. This strategy is proposed for the task of COVID-19 screening from chest X-rays (CXR) and CT Scans, as a part of Computer-Aided Detection (CADe) for medical practitioners. We leverage the strategy of Transfer Learning for Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) widely adopted in recent literature, and further propose an efficient ensemble network for their combination. The principles of fuzzy logic have been leveraged to combine the measured decision scores generated by three state-of-the-art CNNs - Inception V3, Inception ResNet V2 and DenseNet 201 - through the Choquet fuzzy integral. Experimental results support the efficacy of our approach over empirical ensembling, as the fuzzy ensembling strategy for biomedical measurement consists of dynamic refactoring of the classifier ensemble weights on the fly, based upon the confidence scores for coalitions of inputs. This is the chief advantage of our biomedical measurement strategy over others as other methods do not adjust to the multiple generated measurements dynamically unlike ours.Impressive results on multiple datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The source code of our proposed method is made available at: https://github.com/theavicaster/covid-cade-ensemble.

14.
Comput Biol Med ; 138: 104895, 2021 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1446548

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic has collapsed the public healthcare systems, along with severely damaging the economy of the world. The SARS-CoV-2 virus also known as the coronavirus, led to community spread, causing the death of more than a million people worldwide. The primary reason for the uncontrolled spread of the virus is the lack of provision for population-wise screening. The apparatus for RT-PCR based COVID-19 detection is scarce and the testing process takes 6-9 h. The test is also not satisfactorily sensitive (71% sensitive only). Hence, Computer-Aided Detection techniques based on deep learning methods can be used in such a scenario using other modalities like chest CT-scan images for more accurate and sensitive screening. In this paper, we propose a method that uses a Sugeno fuzzy integral ensemble of four pre-trained deep learning models, namely, VGG-11, GoogLeNet, SqueezeNet v1.1 and Wide ResNet-50-2, for classification of chest CT-scan images into COVID and Non-COVID categories. The proposed framework has been tested on a publicly available dataset for evaluation and it achieves 98.93% accuracy and 98.93% sensitivity on the same. The model outperforms state-of-the-art methods on the same dataset and proves to be a reliable COVID-19 detector. The relevant source codes for the proposed approach can be found at: https://github.com/Rohit-Kundu/Fuzzy-Integral-Covid-Detection.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Deep Learning , Humans , Lung , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
15.
Multimed Tools Appl ; 81(1): 31-50, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1384535

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 virus has caused a worldwide pandemic, affecting numerous individuals and accounting for more than a million deaths. The countries of the world had to declare complete lockdown when the coronavirus led to community spread. Although the real-time Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) test is the gold-standard test for COVID-19 screening, it is not satisfactorily accurate and sensitive. On the other hand, Computer Tomography (CT) scan images are much more sensitive and can be suitable for COVID-19 detection. To this end, in this paper, we develop a fully automated method for fast COVID-19 screening by using chest CT-scan images employing Deep Learning techniques. For this supervised image classification problem, a bootstrap aggregating or Bagging ensemble of three transfer learning models, namely, Inception v3, ResNet34 and DenseNet201, has been used to boost the performance of the individual models. The proposed framework, called ET-NET, has been evaluated on a publicly available dataset, achieving 97.81±0.53% accuracy, 97.77±0.58% precision, 97.81±0.52% sensitivity and 97.77±0.57% specificity on 5-fold cross-validation outperforming the state-of-the-art method on the same dataset by 1.56%. The relevant codes for the proposed approach are accessible in: https://github.com/Rohit-Kundu/ET-NET_Covid-Detection.

16.
J Family Med Prim Care ; 10(7): 2619-2624, 2021 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1362678

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hospitals are at the forefront of dealing infectious public health emergencies. Recently, COVID-19 has been declared as pandemic by the World Health Organization. Dealing with COVID-19 pandemic requires high intensity of administrative activity. OBJECTIVE: We conducted this study to assess and compare, objectively, hospital preparedness with available Centre of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) standards. METHODS: CDC has issued checklist for the assessment of hospital preparedness for COVID-19 pandemic, globally. This list contains 10 elements with sub-sections. We objectified the same and scored the hospital preparations accordingly. Various financial efforts made by the hospital to procure COVID19-specified items was also recorded. RESULTS: As per the CDC checklist, the hospital scored 197 points (72.06%) out of 270 points with highest points in element two and eight. Element two is for the development for written COVID-19 plan. Element eight consists of addressing the occupational health of healthcare workers. Lowest scoring was in the element seven represented visitor access and movement within facility. During the study period, the hospital procured items of approximately 55 lakhs. In the study period, doctors, nursing staff, housekeeping staff, and security staff were channelized for doing COVID-19 duties. CONCLUSIONS: We obtained a score above 70% (good) which is quite encouraging, and we concluded that pandemic preparations in hospitals are necessary and it can be assessed objectively against prevailing standards. It is important in poor countries like India where spending on healthcare is minimal compared to other countries. Additionally, this assessment can be used to guide us further changes in policies and identifying the gaps in pandemic preparedness in hospitals which require special attention.

17.
Signal Image Video Process ; 16(3): 579-586, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1330407

ABSTRACT

The novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) first appeared in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. COVID-19 declared as a global pandemic by the WHO was the most rapidly spreading disease all across the world. India, the second most populated nation in the world, is still fighting it, when coronavirus reached the stage where community transmission takes place at an exponential rate. Therefore, it is crucial to examine the future trends of COVID-19 in India and anticipate how it will affect economic and social growth in a short run. In this paper, a new deep learning framework using CNN and stacked Bi-GRU has been developed for predicting and analyzing the COVID-19 cases in India. The proposed model can predict the next 30 days' new positive cases, new death cases, recovery rate and containment and health index values with high accuracy. The proposed method is compared against Gaussian process regression (GPR) model on COVID-19 datasets. The experimental result shows that the proposed framework is highly reliable for COVID-19 prediction over the GPR model.

18.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 14133, 2021 07 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1303790

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 has crippled the world's healthcare systems, setting back the economy and taking the lives of several people. Although potential vaccines are being tested and supplied around the world, it will take a long time to reach every human being, more so with new variants of the virus emerging, enforcing a lockdown-like situation on parts of the world. Thus, there is a dire need for early and accurate detection of COVID-19 to prevent the spread of the disease, even more. The current gold-standard RT-PCR test is only 71% sensitive and is a laborious test to perform, leading to the incapability of conducting the population-wide screening. To this end, in this paper, we propose an automated COVID-19 detection system that uses CT-scan images of the lungs for classifying the same into COVID and Non-COVID cases. The proposed method applies an ensemble strategy that generates fuzzy ranks of the base classification models using the Gompertz function and fuses the decision scores of the base models adaptively to make the final predictions on the test cases. Three transfer learning-based convolutional neural network models are used, namely VGG-11, Wide ResNet-50-2, and Inception v3, to generate the decision scores to be fused by the proposed ensemble model. The framework has been evaluated on two publicly available chest CT scan datasets achieving state-of-the-art performance, justifying the reliability of the model. The relevant source codes related to the present work is available in: GitHub.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnostic imaging , COVID-19/prevention & control , Lung/diagnostic imaging , Neural Networks, Computer , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Datasets as Topic , Early Diagnosis , Humans , Reproducibility of Results , Sensitivity and Specificity
19.
J Public Aff ; 21(4): e2648, 2021 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1095670

ABSTRACT

The present work evaluates the impact of age, population density, total population, rural population, annual average temperature, basic sanitation facilities, and diabetes prevalence on the transmission of COVID-19. This research is an effort to identify the major predictors that have a significant impact on the number of COVID-19 cases per million population for 83 countries. The findings highlight that a population with a greater share of old people (aged above 65) shows a higher number of COVID-19 positive cases and a population with a lower median age has fewer cases. This can be explained in terms of higher co-morbidities and the lower general immunity in the older age group. The analysis restates the widely seen results that a higher median age and greater prevalence of co-morbidities leads to higher cases per million and lesser population density and interpersonal contact helps in containing the spread of the virus. The study finds foundation in the assertion that a higher temperature might lower the number of cases, or that temperature in general can affect the infectivity. The study suggests that better access to sanitation is a certain measure to contain the spread of the virus. The outcome of this study will be helpful in ascertaining the impact of these indicators in this pandemic, and help in policy formation and decision-making strategies to fight against it.

20.
Diagnostics (Basel) ; 11(2)2021 Feb 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1085111

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 virus is spreading across the world very rapidly. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared it a global pandemic on 11 March 2020. Early detection of this virus is necessary because of the unavailability of any specific drug. The researchers have developed different techniques for COVID-19 detection, but only a few of them have achieved satisfactory results. There are three ways for COVID-19 detection to date, those are real-time reverse transcription-polymerize chain reaction (RT-PCR), Computed Tomography (CT), and X-ray plays. In this work, we have proposed a less expensive computational model for automatic COVID-19 detection from Chest X-ray and CT-scan images. Our paper has a two-fold contribution. Initially, we have extracted deep features from the image dataset and then introduced a completely novel meta-heuristic feature selection approach, named Clustering-based Golden Ratio Optimizer (CGRO). The model has been implemented on three publicly available datasets, namely the COVID CT-dataset, SARS-Cov-2 dataset, and Chest X-Ray dataset, and attained state-of-the-art accuracies of 99.31%, 98.65%, and 99.44%, respectively.

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